https://vintd.org/tags/hodl-waves/Recent content in Hodl Waves on VintD.org – Vintage Coin Market & Time-Stratified PricingHugoenSun, 07 Jun 2026 00:30:00 +0000https://vintd.org/posts/cross-chain-hodl-gradient/Sun, 07 Jun 2026 00:30:00 +0000https://vintd.org/posts/cross-chain-hodl-gradient/A quantitative comparison of coin-age distributions across Bitcoin, Litecoin, Dogecoin, and Ethereum reveals that each chain’s vintage supply structure creates fundamentally different vintage premium dynamics — explaining why BTC commands the steepest year-stratified gradient while DOGE trades with the flattest.https://vintd.org/posts/supply-hardening-bear-market-resilience/Thu, 04 Jun 2026 00:30:00 +0000https://vintd.org/posts/supply-hardening-bear-market-resilience/Counterintuitive on-chain data reveals that vintage BTC, LTC, and DOGE coins become less liquid — not more — during bear markets. Vintage supply hardening accelerates as long-term holders accumulate and old coins remain unmoved, reinforcing year-stratified premiums.https://vintd.org/posts/the-vintage-year-premium-decay-curve-how-bitcoins-oldest-coins-grow-rarer-by-the-day/Thu, 28 May 2026 02:00:00 +0000https://vintd.org/posts/the-vintage-year-premium-decay-curve-how-bitcoins-oldest-coins-grow-rarer-by-the-day/Bitcoin’s oldest vintage coins command premiums of 15–30% over spot in OTC markets. But how does that premium decay as coins age? Analyzing Glassnode HODL Waves, CoinMetrics CDD data, and reported OTC trades, this article maps the year-premium decay curve — a quantitative model showing how vintage Bitcoin premiums diminish by roughly half every three years.https://vintd.org/zh-cn/posts/vintage-year-premium-decay/Thu, 28 May 2026 02:00:00 +0000https://vintd.org/zh-cn/posts/vintage-year-premium-decay/比特币最古老的老币在场外交易市场中可获得 15–30% 的溢价。但随着币龄增长，这个溢价如何衰减？通过分析 Glassnode HODL Waves、CoinMetrics CDD 数据以及公开报道的 OTC 交易，本文绘制了年份溢价衰减曲线——一个量化模型，显示比特币老币溢价大约每三年减半。https://vintd.org/zh-tw/posts/vintage-year-premium-decay/Thu, 28 May 2026 02:00:00 +0000https://vintd.org/zh-tw/posts/vintage-year-premium-decay/比特幣最古老的老幣在場外交易市場中可獲得 15–30% 的溢價。但隨著幣齡增長，這個溢價如何衰減？透過分析 Glassnode HODL Waves、CoinMetrics CDD 數據以及公開報導的 OTC 交易，本文繪製了年份溢價衰減曲線——一個量化模型，顯示比特幣老幣溢價大約每三年減半。